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NBA Draft Stock Report: NCAA Tournament Edition

March 21, 2011 By Bill Burke

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Even though it is just one game or a few games, the NCAA Tournament can do wonders to either help or hurt a college basketball player’s NBA Draft Stock. Here are some players who have seen their stock rise and fall since tourney time has tipped-off

By: David Kay

BUY:
Kemba Walker, PG, UConn, Jr.
Dating back to the Big East Tournament, Walker has been playing on a whole other level; even better than his blazing hot start to the season in my opinion.  His heart, fight, and toughness in leading UConn to five wins in five days in the Big East Tournament was legendary; literally legendary.

Walker’s play in the NCAA Tournament has been just as impressive as he had 18 points, 12 assists, and 8 boards against Bucknell, and 33, 5, and 6 versus Cincinnati.  If he is not a top ten pick in this summer’s NBA Draft, there are some insanely unintelligent general managers in charge of teams.  I heard one analyst say Walker could be a change of pace type point guard at the next level like Ty Lawson and I think that is a fair comparison, but that his ceiling is even higher.

Harrison Barnes, SF, North Carolina, Fr.
The Tar Heel freshman has worked his way back into the discussion as the possible top overall pick in the NBA Draft.  Since tournament play has begun, Barnes is averaging 24 points per game thanks to his smooth jump shot.  He has also shown slightly more in terms of his ability to get to the basket but still needs to be more aggressive in attacking the hoop.  A 16-rebound performance against Long Island also showed his ability to rebound the basketball due to his impressive build that will only get stronger once he reaches the association.

Tyler Zeller, C, North Carolina, Sr.
He is a very skilled big man with great touch around the basket and runs the floor very well for a seven-footer.  In two NCAA Tournament games he has scored 55 points.  The question surrounding Zeller always has been and always be whether or not he can be physical enough to be a productive NBA center.  Up until a week ago I would have thought there was zero chance of him turning pro or possibly being a first round pick.  Now I am starting to think that it could possible especially since there are not a great deal of true center prospects in this draft.  If I was a betting man, I would put money down that he returns to UNC for his senior season.  However, he could test the waters and if he gets feedback of being a first round selection, could be gone after this season.

Jimmy Butler, SF, Marquette, Sr.
One the best intangible players in the country, Butler does not excel in any certain any area but does a little bit of everything to help his team win.  Most notably, it is his versatility on the defensive end that makes him an intriguing prospect.  In the past couple of weeks, he has held Marshon Brooks in check, locked down Tu Holloway, and guarded positions in MU’s victory against Syracuse.  A couple of weeks ago, I would have said there was no way that he would get drafted.  Now, I think he has a good chance of being a second round pick

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SELL:
Tu Holloway, PG, Xavier, Jr.
After a terrific season in which he was one of the more underrated guards in the country despite being one of two players in the country to average at least 20 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists per game, (Cleveland State’s Norris Cole was the other) Holloway was awful in the Musketeers’ opening round game finishing with 5 points on 1-8 shooting with 5 turnovers.  He struggled against a taller, lengthier defender in Marquette’s Jimmy Butler and was unable to get anything going.  One game does not take away from an entire season’s body of work, but laying an egg like that on the biggest stage does not help his draft prospects should he forgo his senior season.

Jeffery Taylor, SF, Vanderbilt, Jr.
Taylor had a very efficient end to the regular season and played well for Vandy in the SEC Tournament but that type of productivity did not carry over to the Big Dance.  We all know Taylor is athletically gifted and a solid defender, but his inconsistency as a shoot continues to hold him back.  He was just 1-10 from the field scoring just four points in the Commodores’ loss to Richmond.  Credit the 6-7 junior for raising his three-point percentage from .09% last season to 34.5% this year.  I would expect him to at least test the waters since he has the option to not hire an agent, pull his name out, and return for his senior season.  With the likelihood of Taylor being a borderline first round pick, returning to Vanderbilt might be in his best interest.

Josh Selby, G, Kansas, Fr.
As talented as Selby might be, his stock has to be at the lowest its been all season long.  During the Jayhawks’ past seven games, Selby is averaging a little more than ten minutes per game as he has been relegated to the fifth guard in Bill Self’s usual three-guard line-up on the floor.  He has not scored in double digits since February 1st and only has one more assist than turnover during that stretch.  Based on potential alone, Selby is still probably a first round pick but would be better suited returning for his sophomore season to get more experience at the college level which should help his stock.

David Kay is a senior feature NBA Draft, NBA, and college basketball writer for the Sports Bank.  He also heads up the NBA and college basketball material at Walter Football.com and is a fomer contributor at The Washington Times Communities.  You can follow him on Twitter at DavidKay_TSB.

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Filed Under: College Basketball, NBA Draft Tagged With: 2011 nba draft, harrison barnes nba draft, jeffery taylor nba draft, jimmy butler nba draft, josh selby nba draft, kemba walker nba draft, NBA Draft, nba draft early entrants, nba draft early entries, nba draft prospects, NBA Draft stock, NCAA tournament, tu holloway nba draft, tyler zeller nba draft

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