Take It To The Bank! Week 7 NFL!

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By Paul Schmidt

So, let’s forget what happened last week.  That’s right, we’ll just forget it.  0-4?  Oh and Four????  What????  Three of my picks outright lost, and the fourth, Jacksonville, barely snuck out a win.  EPIC FAIL.

On the plus side, I’m still over .500, and that’s a good thing…

On to this week’s picks, with lines courtesy of Harrah’s casinos in Las Vegas…

Indianapolis (-14) at St. Louis
The Rams proved they could be frisky last week.  Don’t look for that to continue this week. Pick: Indy -14

Chicago (PICK) at Cincinnati
I don’t put a lot of stock in Ced Benson as a premier NFL running back, but I do believe that a lot of the Bears want to smack him in the mouth this week.  Also, this is a pretty good value pick here, as Cincy’s secondary isn’t all that good, and Cutler should be able to pick this team apart. Pick: Chicago (PK)

Green Bay (-9) at Cleveland
I don’t particularly like this Packers’ offensive line.  I don’t know that Cleveland can necessarily take advantage of that, but if they can contain Ryan Grant even a little today, I think that Derek Anderson can keep this team in the game. Pick: Cleveland +9

Philadelphia (-7) at Washington
Well, let’s sum up Washington: They’re starting Jason Campbell again this week after benching him last week, playcalling on offense has been taken away from Jim Zorn by the team’s owner, everyone on the team has the flu, and then there’s that awful chlamydia outbreak. 

And here’s the kicker: Only ONE of those things isn’t true…I’ll lay the points, please! Pick: Philly -7

Last week: 0-4
Season Record: 13-11

Take It To The Bank, NFL Week 4

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By Paul Schmidt

Another week, another winning week.  I’m on a roll with these picks, although I did only go 3-1 last week.  What the heck is wrong with the Titans??  Or is Kerry Collins just remembering he’s Kerry Collins?  Or drinking again? 

Now we’re getting into where the books and oddsmakers really should have a pretty good handle of what’s going on, so this week it’s even more important to be very careful about which games you wager on.  Look at all those lines this week — there’s literally only one line that jumps out as insane, and you better believe that we’re going to lead off the picks with that game….

Dallas -3 at Denver
So…let me get this straight.  Dallas has a good week one, loses at home to the Giants, and then squeak by a terrible Carolina team, again at home…and that leads to them laying three points on the road?  To ANYONE??  I don’t think Denver is as good as their 3-0 record, but that Cincinnati win is looking a lot better now, even if it was a fluke.

Don’t ever, ever forget that Denver is one of the toughest places to go on the road, either…the altitude, that crowd and the way the stadium was built to shake when the crowd gets loud…it’s intimidating.  And Denver wins this game outright.
Pick Denver +3

St. Louis +9.5 at San Francisco
The Rams are just terrible. Although they might be a little bit better wiith Kyle Boller at quarterback. That right there might be the most telling thing you can say about the Rams though, that Kyle Boller makes them a better team…yikes.  Plus you’re putting them on the road against a good 49er squad that won’t miss Frank Gore, then you’ve got to feel good about San Fran’s chances. 

And about that Frank Gore injury, really, don’t worry about it.  Glen Coffee is more than capable of filling his spot.
Pick: San Francisco -9.5

Buffalo (PICK) at Miami
In case you haven’t figured out this week’s theme, it’s that “We Heart Injured Quarterbacks!”  Now, to be fair, if Chad Pennington had been playing and this line was, say, -6 in facor of Miami…I think I still like Buffalo. 

Instead, we’ve got Tyler Thigpen maybe, Chad “Don’t call me Sonja” Henne.  It’s just not a good situation in Miami this week, and it looks like they will fall off a lot from last year.
Pick: Buffalo (PICK)

Tampa Bay +8 at Washington
How awful are the Buccanneers?  REALLY awful.  REALLY REALLY awful.  And you know what?  I liked the Redskins laying 8 BEFORE Tampa Bay coach Rahim Morris announced that Florida Marlins pitcher Josh Johnson was going to start at QB for them. Apparently he doesn’t have much going on after this weekend with the Marlins.

What?  It’s a different Josh Johnson?  That I’ve never heard of before this week?  And now he’s ACTUALLY a starting QB in the NFL?  Seriously???  And I can wager actual money against him?

Even the Redskins, as bad and dysfunctional as they are, can’t screw this up.
Pick: Washington -8

Last Week: 3-1
For the Season: 9-3

Take It To The Bank, NFL Edition Week 2!

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By Paul Schmidt

Last week, I thought taking some big dogs would be a great way to start the season.  I was only half right.  I nearly did earn the cover in the Baltimore game, but the Chiefs abandoned Tyler Thigpen for Brodie Croyle. OK, they didn’t really abandon him…but they certainly didn’t play him.  And Brodie Croyle sucks.  I do know that.  Given all that, the Ravens still only covered by one point, so we were all really close there.

As for the Lions game…umm…well, call it a bad hunch.

So where do we go this week?  What did we learn?  Let’s find out with these four best bets of week 2 in the NFL!

Oakland +3 at Kansas City
This is a hunch.  Great Oakland defense, and they’ll be playing a much less…organized, we’ll say…Kansas City D this week.  Plus, when you have either a healthy Brodie Croyle or an unhealthy Matt Cassel…it just doesn’t look good for the Chiefs this week.

Factor in that the Oakland secondary is actually more than capable, and that might mean that a win lies in the performance of Kansas City’s running game.  Do you want your money in the hands of Larry Johnson and Jamaal Charles?  I didn’t think so…

New Orleans (PICK) at Philadelphia
The Sports Guy at ESPN said it best, I think: I’m not picking against the Saints until I lose.  Well….I mean after last week…

In all seriousness, until anyone proves they can stop that offense, until someone draws up a realistic blueprint, I think everyone should be putting their money on the Saints and betting the over.  Hands down.  No questions asked.

Chicago +3 over Pittsburgh
The Bears’ secondary scares me, but I also think that “Ben” is one of the most overrated QBs in all of football.  I don’t think the Steelers running game is good enough that they can take this game over, either.

Jay Cutler will have something to prove at home, and if ever there was a must-win game in week 2, this certainly is one.  The Bears need this game.  A lot. A loss could cripple them, and worse yet, will most likely drop them 2 games behind Minnesota (and possibly Green Bay too).

Indianapolis -3 at Miami
I make this pick based on two things: 1) Miami looked miserable last week in Atlanta, and 2) Indianapolis’ offense looked bad against Jacksonville.

Now, I know that it looks like those two things are contrary to each other, but the thing is that Indy’s offense is too explosive to be kept down, and I fully expect that the two-headed hydra of Joe Addai and Donald Brown get off this week.

On the flip side, I have no confidence that the pupu platter of WRs that Miami has will make a dent in the Colts’ very talented secondary.

Last Week: 2-2


For The Season: 2-2

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