Fantasy Football Studs, Duds & Sleepers: AFC South

chris johnson

With the NFL lockout finally behind us, football fans can finally turn our attention from the courtrooms and onto the field, where it belongs. In the final edition of his preseason fantasy rankings, I rank the fantasy studs, duds and sleepers in the AFC South.

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Indianapolis Colts in Playoffs Again

colts

Here they are again.

An Adam Vinatieri field goal as time expired Sunday gave the Indianapolis Colts a 23-20 victory against Tennessee at Lucas Oil Stadium, a 10-6 record in 2010, the AFC South title and the No. 3 seed in the AFC playoffs. The Colts, who tied the Dallas Cowboys’ long-standing record by securing their ninth consecutive postseason berth, will play host to the New York Jets at 8 p.m. Saturday in a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship game.

Indianapolis is not unaccustomed to being the No. 3 seed in the AFC; the Colts began the playoffs from that slot in 2003 and 2004 before season-ending losses to New England and won the Super Bowl from the third seed in the 2006 postseason.

What the franchise — or maybe just everyone else — might have been unaccustomed to was the way Indy had to get there. So much of what the Colts did down the stretch to ultimately wind up in their familiar position was quite unconventional when considering the team’s history over the last decade.

Let’s look more closely:

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NFL Week 16 Previews: AFC Games

pats girl

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ BUFFALO BILLS

New England is the 83 percent road favorite.  Tom Brady is projected for a solid game with 240 passing yards and just a 50 percent chance of throwing an INT.  The Patriots are heavy favorites because Benjarvus Green-Ellis and Danny Woodhead are both averaging over 5 ypc.  If Buffalo can intercept Brady at least once while holding the RBs to under 3.5 ypc the Bills improve to having a 50 percent chance.  If Ryan Fitzpatrick has no INTs with at least 2 TD passes the Bills have a 40 percent chance and if Fred Jackson also adds 50+ rushing yards the Bills are 53 percent favorites.

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