NFL Week 16 Previews: AFC Games

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NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ BUFFALO BILLS

New England is the 83 percent road favorite.  Tom Brady is projected for a solid game with 240 passing yards and just a 50 percent chance of throwing an INT.  The Patriots are heavy favorites because Benjarvus Green-Ellis and Danny Woodhead are both averaging over 5 ypc.  If Buffalo can intercept Brady at least once while holding the RBs to under 3.5 ypc the Bills improve to having a 50 percent chance.  If Ryan Fitzpatrick has no INTs with at least 2 TD passes the Bills have a 40 percent chance and if Fred Jackson also adds 50+ rushing yards the Bills are 53 percent favorites.

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