Northwestern still needs three wins to make NCAA Tournament

drew_crawford

In our latest NCAA Tournament bracket projection, we have Northwestern as a #12 seed, one of the last four teams in. Of course, this isn’t a place you want to stay right now as Selection Sunday approaches.

Even though this is a supposedly “weak bubble,” bracket projections don’t and can’t factor in the “bid-stealing” that will occur next week when small conference favorites lose in their in their league tournaments. How many of these “one-bid league” upsets will we have? Who knows, but you need to get above that last #12 seed line to be safe, and the ‘Cats need to beat the Iowa Hawkeyes in Iowa City and then pick up two more wins in Indy.

[Read more…]

Big East basketball: NCAA Tournament bubble breakdown

jae crowder marquette

Friday is usually when I do my updated Big East Basketball Power Rankings.  Since nobody cares about the DePaul’s, Providence’s, and Rutgers’ of the world this late in the season, this week’s Big East Power Rankings will an analysis of the teams in the conference who have solidified their status in the NCAA Tournament or are firmly on the bubble and still have work to do.  Let’s break down some resumes… (Click here to check out my latest bracketology.)

[Read more…]

Northwestern’s Surprisingly Good RPI, Tournament Profile

northwestern_celebration

RPI (Ratings Percentage Index) is an algorithm based on opponents’ winning percentage, opponents’ opponents’ winning percentage, and opponents’ opponents’ opponents’ winning percentage. This is the truth, I’m not trying to sound like Dr. Seuss here. So RPI is like the BCS, a very controversial number that certains groups of people ascribe meaning to; other groups of people resent.

That fact is, RPI is taken very seriously by the NCAA Tournament selection committee, and from a numerical standpoint, it’s all about “who have you played?” Then there’s the eye-test with RPI, which asks “who have you beaten?”

And these numbers are what gives the Northwestern Wildcats a stronger than you think tourney profile. A 12-5, 2-3 in conference team with two 28+ point losses doesn’t seem like a good candidate to go dancing at first glance. But when you look at their #30 RPI and strength of schedule, the picture completely changes.

[Read more…]

TSB’s FINAL Bracketology: Projecting the NCAA Tournament Brackets

final four

I am a huge college basketball nerd.  I know it and if you are a frequent visitor to the Sports Bank, you know it as well.  So much in fact, that I create my own bracketology which is seventy times nerdier than making a NBA mock draft.

In my inaugural year of entering this hallowed ground of geeks, my bracketology more than held its own ESPN’s “expert” bracketologist Joe Lunardi; a feat that I consider to be a huge accomplishment.

This year, there is more to take into account with the NCAA expanding the field to 68 teams.  That means there will now be four play-in games held in Dayton.  Two of those games will feature the final four at-large bids battling to be in the Field of 64.  Same will go for the last four automatic qualifiers.  Be sure to check back every week for updates on my Field of 68.

UPDATED: 3/13/11  4:30 P.M. CST

By: David Kay

[Read more…]

TSB’s Bracketology: Projecting the NCAA Tournament

final four

I am a huge college basketball nerd.  I know it and if you are a frequent visitor to the Sports Bank, you know it as well.  So much in fact, that I create my own bracketology which is seventy times nerdier than making a NBA mock draft.

In my inaugural year of entering this hallowed ground of geeks, my bracketology more than held its own ESPN’s “expert” bracketologist Joe Lunardi; a feat that I consider to be a huge accomplishment.

This year, there is more to take into account with the NCAA expanding the field to 68 teams.  That means there will now be four play-in games held in Dayton.  Two of those games will feature the final four at-large bids battling to be in the Field of 64.  Same will go for the last four automatic qualifiers.  Be sure to check back every week for updates on my Field of 68.

UPDATED: 3/4/11

By: David Kay

[Read more…]

TSB’s Bracketology: Projecting the 2011 NCAA Tournament (2/18/11)

final four logo

I am a huge college basketball nerd.  I know it and if you are a frequent visitor to the Sports Bank, you know it as well.  So much in fact, that I create my own bracketology which is seventy times nerdier than making a NBA mock draft.

In my inaugural year of entering this hallowed ground of geeks, my bracketology more than held its own ESPN’s “expert” bracketologist Joe Lunardi; a feat that I consider to be a huge accomplishment.

This year, there is more to take into account with the NCAA expanding the field to 68 teams.  That means there will now be four play-in games held in Dayton.  Two of those games will feature the final four at-large bids battling to be in the Field of 64.  Same will go for the last four automatic qualifiers.  Be sure to check back every week for updates on my Field of 68.

By: David Kay

[Read more…]

The Reality of Marquette’s NCAA Tournament Chances

buzz williams marquette

After a heartless second half effort in a crucial game against St. John’s on Tuesday, Marquette now finds itself in desperation mode regarding their 2011 NCAA Tournament hopes.  At 6-7 in Big East play with five regular season games remaining, history tells us the margin of error is incredibly slim if the Golden Eagles hope to hear their name called on Selection Sunday.

By: David Kay
[Read more…]

2011 NCAA Tournament Bubble Watch

Bruce Weber Illinois

We are hitting the stretch run of the college basketball season and teams are trying to improve their resume and pick up some key wins to help their NCAA Tournament hopes.  Here are some crucial games this week featuring bubble teams that could make or break their chances of being selected for the Field of 68Click here for my latest bracketology.

By: David Kay
[Read more…]

TSB’s Bracketology: Projecting the 2011 NCAA Tournament (2/11/11)

2011 final four

I am a huge college basketball nerd.  I know it and if you are a frequent visitor to the Sports Bank, you know it as well.  So much in fact, that I create my own bracketology which is seventy times nerdier than making a NBA mock draft.

In my inaugural year of entering this hallowed ground of geeks, my bracketology more than held its own ESPN’s “expert” bracketologist Joe Lunardi; a feat that I consider to be a huge accomplishment.

This year, there is more to take into account with the NCAA expanding the field to 68 teams.  That means there will now be four play-in games held in Dayton.  Two of those games will feature the final four at-large bids battling to be in the Field of 64.  Same will go for the last four automatic qualifiers.  Be sure to check back every week for updates on my Field of 68.

By: David Kay

[Read more…]

TSB’s Bracketology: Projecting the 2011 NCAA Tournament (1/28/11)

2011 final four

I am a huge college basketball nerd.  I know it and if you are a frequent visitor to the Sports Bank, you know it as well.  So much in fact, that I create my own bracketology which is seventy times nerdier than making a NBA mock draft.

In my inaugural year of entering this hallowed ground of geeks, my bracketology more than held its own ESPN’s “expert” bracketologist Joe Lunardi; a feat that I consider to be a huge accomplishment.

This year, there is more to take into account with the NCAA expanding the field to 68 teams.  That means there will now be four play-in games held in Dayton.  Two of those games will feature the final four at-large bids battling to be in the Field of 64.  Same will go for the last four automatic qualifiers.  Be sure to check back every week for updates on my Field of 68.

By: David Kay

[Read more…]

TSB’s Bracketology: Projecting the 2011 NCAA Tournament (1/21/11)

I am a huge college basketball nerd.  I know it and if you are a frequent visitor to the Sports Bank, you know it as well.  So much in fact, that I create my own bracketology which is seventy times nerdier than making a NBA mock draft.

In my inaugural year of entering this hallowed ground of geeks, my bracketology more than held its own ESPN’s “expert” bracketologist Joe Lunardi; a feat that I consider to be a huge accomplishment.

This year, there is more to take into account with the NCAA expanding the field to 68 teams.  That means there will now be four play-in games held in Dayton.  Two of those games will feature the final four at-large bids battling to be in the Field of 64.  Same will go for the last four automatic qualifiers.  Be sure to check back every week for updates on my Field of 68.

By: David Kay

[Read more…]

TSB’s Bracketology: Projecting the 2011 NCAA Tournament (1/14/11)

2011 final four

I am a huge college basketball nerd.  I know it and if you are a frequent visitor to the Sports Bank, you know it as well.  So much in fact, that I create my own bracketology which is seventy times nerdier than making a NBA mock draft.

In my inaugural year of entering this hallowed ground of geeks, my bracketology more than held its own ESPN’s “expert” bracketologist Joe Lunardi; a feat that I consider to be a huge accomplishment.

This year, there is more to take into account with the NCAA expanding the field to 68 teams.  That means there will now be four play-in games held in Dayton.  Two of those games will feature the final four at-large bids battling to be in the Field of 64.  Same will go for the last four automatic qualifiers.  Be sure to check back every week for updates on my Field of 68.

By: David Kay

[Read more…]