Take It To The Bank, NFL Edition

And here’s those long awaited NFL picks for Sunday’s games.

You’re probably wondering why I didn’t pick last night’s game, and there’s a few reasons: 1) the whole getting out of jail thing. 2) I don’t bet on games where the quarterback is a grandfather, and almost my age. 3) I didn’t feel like it.

Yeah that’s right, I said it, whatcha gonna do about it?

Look, football was meant to be bet on on the weekends, not when people have to go to work the next day. Except for Monday night, because as my good ol’ pal, Scootch Malnoti used to tell me when he was making book, Monday’s the night everyone tries to win back what they lost over the weekend. So they don’t have to pay a guy like Scootch on Tuesday. Or get a visit from any of Scootch’s two sons. Did you know they both walked on to the UNLV football team? Offensive linemen…big kids.

Anyway, that won’t be a problem for you — like I always like to say, I’m Lucky, and you listen to me, you’ll be lucky too. [Read more…]

Take It To The Bank, NFL Week 4


By Paul Schmidt

Another week, another winning week.  I’m on a roll with these picks, although I did only go 3-1 last week.  What the heck is wrong with the Titans??  Or is Kerry Collins just remembering he’s Kerry Collins?  Or drinking again? 

Now we’re getting into where the books and oddsmakers really should have a pretty good handle of what’s going on, so this week it’s even more important to be very careful about which games you wager on.  Look at all those lines this week — there’s literally only one line that jumps out as insane, and you better believe that we’re going to lead off the picks with that game….

Dallas -3 at Denver
So…let me get this straight.  Dallas has a good week one, loses at home to the Giants, and then squeak by a terrible Carolina team, again at home…and that leads to them laying three points on the road?  To ANYONE??  I don’t think Denver is as good as their 3-0 record, but that Cincinnati win is looking a lot better now, even if it was a fluke.

Don’t ever, ever forget that Denver is one of the toughest places to go on the road, either…the altitude, that crowd and the way the stadium was built to shake when the crowd gets loud…it’s intimidating.  And Denver wins this game outright.
Pick Denver +3

St. Louis +9.5 at San Francisco
The Rams are just terrible. Although they might be a little bit better wiith Kyle Boller at quarterback. That right there might be the most telling thing you can say about the Rams though, that Kyle Boller makes them a better team…yikes.  Plus you’re putting them on the road against a good 49er squad that won’t miss Frank Gore, then you’ve got to feel good about San Fran’s chances. 

And about that Frank Gore injury, really, don’t worry about it.  Glen Coffee is more than capable of filling his spot.
Pick: San Francisco -9.5

Buffalo (PICK) at Miami
In case you haven’t figured out this week’s theme, it’s that “We Heart Injured Quarterbacks!”  Now, to be fair, if Chad Pennington had been playing and this line was, say, -6 in facor of Miami…I think I still like Buffalo. 

Instead, we’ve got Tyler Thigpen maybe, Chad “Don’t call me Sonja” Henne.  It’s just not a good situation in Miami this week, and it looks like they will fall off a lot from last year.
Pick: Buffalo (PICK)

Tampa Bay +8 at Washington
How awful are the Buccanneers?  REALLY awful.  REALLY REALLY awful.  And you know what?  I liked the Redskins laying 8 BEFORE Tampa Bay coach Rahim Morris announced that Florida Marlins pitcher Josh Johnson was going to start at QB for them. Apparently he doesn’t have much going on after this weekend with the Marlins.

What?  It’s a different Josh Johnson?  That I’ve never heard of before this week?  And now he’s ACTUALLY a starting QB in the NFL?  Seriously???  And I can wager actual money against him?

Even the Redskins, as bad and dysfunctional as they are, can’t screw this up.
Pick: Washington -8

Last Week: 3-1
For the Season: 9-3

Take it to the BANK!

By Paul Schmidt

Week one is in the books, and I came away relatively unscathed. 2-2 for the week, both on late covers from MAC teams.  The MAC is frisky!  Don’t let anyone tell you otherwise!!

However, last week there were some stumbles.  Apparently Michigan is gonna be pretty good. And Oklahoma State, despite all my protestations, may actually NOT be overrated.  I can admit my mistake.  I’M A MAN! I’M THIRTY-ONE!

Anyway, the theme for this week is…well, why do I need a theme?  Just looking for winners, and as always, comments/harassment/challenges to my manhood are welcome!

Louisiana Tech +7.5 at Navy
I was looking forward to this line just as soon as the Ohio State/Navy game wrapped up last week.  Navy’s not as good as they showed last week, and Louisiana Tech is probably a lot better than you think.  They’ve got a very solid offense, and an underrated defense.  They nearly took the lead in the second half on the road against Auburn last week, but and interception near the end zone and then two plays later a 93-yard touchdown pass pretty much turned all the momentum around and keyed Auburn on to victory.

Point being, expect Navy to take a small step back this week, and expect Louisiana Tech to take a small step forward and cover this spread (and maybe, MAYBE have a chance to win outright).

Central Michigan +14.5 at Michigan State
I love me some Chippewas!  One of last week’s winners makes a return appearance this week.  Arizona’s defense was up to the task in the desert last week, but Central Michigan’s defense was far more stout than I could have anticipated, allowing just one touchdown and four Alex Zendejas field goals to a fairly solid Wildcat defense.

I’m a little worried about the lack of offense from the Chippewas running game, and all-around from Dan LeFevour in general, but I am confident that they can turn it around in Eas Lansing, a much shorter trip than Tempe, especially given that they will face a far less stern test on defense.

North Carolina -5 at Connecticut
It only took six games, but I’ve finally picked a favorite. I like this North Carolina team. Maybe not as someone at ESPN who actually picked them to win the national title, but they’re a really good team and I think it’s pretty possible they could surprise and win the ACC. It’s also a stronger conference than you think this season.

Connecticut struggled on the road at Ohio last week with turnovers (though the did have the game in hand in the fourth quarter regardless), and that in itself is reason enough to doubt the Huskies this season. Should be a fun game though, as the new facility in Storrs is a great place for a game, and it’s always fun to see a football game involving traditional basketball powers.  It’s like they don’t know exactly what was going on in the game.

Northwestern -18 at home over Eastern Michigan
I can’t really believe that I’d condone wagering on the Purple Wienies from Evanston…but consider this.  Their offense is clicking, they’re at home, and they’re playing a team that just lost — at home — by two touchdowns to Army. 

This shouldn’t be closer than 30 points.

Last Week: 2-2
Season Record: 2-2